Saturday, February 12, 2011

Here Comes Juicy Tuesday

The buzz about the approaching return of Winter-Style weather is beginning to come into focus. Most forecasters have the front arriving Tuesday, five days hence. Of course the TV Weatherguys have been the most chirpy...is it Spring Sweeps time already?

Here's a tidbit from Friday afternoon's 3PM AFD from the Reno NWS Office:

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE FIRST PART OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DEVELOPING A WEST COAST
TROUGH BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN OF MORE
TYPICAL WINTER WEATHER WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION...
ESPECIALLY IN THE SIERRA...AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH WITH REGARD TO THE PATTERN CHANGE...ALTHOUGH DETAILS STILL
REMAIN TO BE IRONED OUT. THEREFORE...HAVE CONTINUED TREND OF RAISING
POPS...BUT KEPT THE DETAILS MORE BROAD-BRUSHED FOR THE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY TIME FRAME. IN ADDITION IT IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY THAT A WIND
EVENT WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SHORT TERM INTO TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY
EVEN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

Meanwhile, in advance of the Big Change, temperatures in the Tahoe Sierra are warming again into the high 40's Friday afternoon...

I'm not exactly bored with these weeks of nice weather...more like I'm lusting for some storm thrills (and hours!)

I have a three day weekend on tap, and I'll miss Day One of the storm if the models stay put. This thing has been trending later over the past few days, so I may not miss much after all. I'll do my part, traveling into the High Sierra on the first day of a storm works better than the old "wash the car brings the rain" gambit.

I'll gladly take one for the team...

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